Wednesday, April 15, 2009

I See Intellectual People

Thomas Sowell is a national treasure. It's really too bad he gets next to no attention outside conservative think tank circles. Instead we are fed a steady diet of folks like Paul Krugman, Thomas Friedman and David Gergen as America's intellectual heavyweights. How many people do you know that have even heard of Dr. Sowell? Being a right-minded intellectual black man it is no surprise to me that the major media pay no attention to him at all (to them he's another Clarence Thomas, antithetical to their view of an African American). He is never invited on for comment. It's a shame and it's very unfortunate for our country.

Recently I watched a video interview with Dr. Sowell that took place right before the 2008 presidential election. The topic essentially came down to a comparison of the "constrained" and the "unconstrained" vision of human interaction and institutions.

A brief synopsis: the constrained vision is that human nature is fundamentally flawed. For society to work we must somehow erect institutions to contain human nature - in a sense erect boundaries around our flaws and allow us to get on with it considering the fallen character of human nature. The unconstrained vision is that human nature itself is malleable but is being held down causing pain and suffering. In this view we must remake the man-made institutions that are causing this pain and suffering.

You can probably guess which side President Obama comes down on...

The unconstrained view believes you need to simply put smart people in charge and through intellectual capacity alone make all the problems just go away. The constrained view assumes that there are very limited things that institutions can actually do and the idea is to minimize the damage done by the flaws in our human nature. One relies on experience and history to guide it down the proper path while the other relies on superior people with superior ideas.

Peter Robinson, of the Hoover Institution who was conducting the Sowell interview recited a couple of revealing quotations from the two presidential candidates:

QUOTE

John McCain in the Presidential debate of October 16th, on the kinds of judges he would nominate to the Supreme Court “I will find the best people in the United States of America who have a history of strict adherence to the constitution and not legislating from the bench.” Barack Obama, during the same debate, “If a woman is out there trying to raise a family, trying to support her family and is being treated unfairly, then the court has to stand up if nobody else will and that is the kind of judge I want.”

(One of these answers falls toward reflection and experience and one toward undefinable feelings. )

Quoting Sowell: "There is an unwillingness to look at the facts of history and it is anti-intellectual, in a sense of intellectual process is unfortunately all too characteristic [of intellectuals] as an occupational category."


And Robinson asks: "Why would the unconstrained vision prove so particularly appealing to intellectuals?"


Thomas Sowell: "That is a tough one, but I think that I guess the short answer is they imagine that good people like themselves to make this thing go and if it has not worked in the past, it is only because they have not had the right people doing it. In other words, Communism would have worked if it had not been for Stalin. But of course, once you have a system like Communism, people like Stalin are the ones who will come to the floor."


END QUOTE

In my humble opinion many, many highly intelligent individuals don't like people in general. They find it tedious to have to deal with others who can't match wits with them regardless of how decent the other person is. Since they have personally learned to control some of the worst aspects of human nature they find it very difficult to "suffer the fools" who haven't. Therefore allowing natural forces like market fluctuations, survival of the fittest and the stupidity of bad decisions just work itself out - no - they feel they and only they know how things should be and feel perfectly comfortable imposing their own will on others.

Intellectuals have got the answers if the stupid people would only stand aside. Forget that for the most part market economies respond to the natural forces of the interaction of millions of individual choices over time within a constrained set of lawful conditions. The unconstrained vision says that economies bend to the will of particular interests regardless of risk/reward, effort and/or hard work and need to be remade to obey only the public interest.

Of course not all intellectuals have such a superior view of themselves just as not all bad decisions are the result of stupidity. The point being that what the "unconstrained" believe seems so obvious to them that if you don't get it you must be incredibly obtuse or just plain dishonest.

When I think of the constrained versus the unconstrained I naturally think of adults and children. Children have the need to ask why things are the way they are. They haven't had many experiences themselves and often see things through the filter of fair and unfair. Often they have simple and frankly ignorant solutions to problems caused by the failings in the human nature of those they see around them. Young adults also seemingly have all the answers, ask any parent of a teenager, their freshly minted minds just haven't been beaten down by the reality of the daily grind. This is why we don't let teenagers call the shots. We don't really want the children running the world, do we?


CW

Sunday, April 12, 2009

Arenal

Here now the latest painting from my Vacation Photo project. This excellent subject comes our way from my friend Jeff Lynn. This was the view from the honeymoon suite in a Costa Rican resort at the foot of Mt. Arenal. I hope you enjoy!


"Arenal"
18X24 (acrylic)
2009
(click on the image for a larger view)

Click on these links to see all the paintings from my Vacation Photo project.

"Lyman Lake at Dirty Face Peak"
"A View From Doyle's"
"Best Friend In God's Country"

See more paintings at http://www.static-art.blogspot.com/




CW


Friday, April 10, 2009

Goodbye GOP, Hello NEW Party

Those who claim that the problem with American politics is the two party system have got it wrong. There is only one party. The Democrats are the ONLY game in town. The Republicans are a joke. This is a problem in country that is very nearly 50/50 when it comes to national elections. Bush v Gore was as close as it could get. Bush v Kerry was extremely close too. Obama v McCain was a bit more lopsided but the 10's of millions who voted for McCain clearly were not swayed by Obama's rhetoric. Those who moved from the center/right to Obama are wondering out loud if they did the right thing.

We are a divided country, yet there is only one party. We need a new party for those of us who simply do not believe in socialism and the benevolence of the government. The GOP is damaged goods and has been for years, it's not a serious party.

The Republican party always claimed be a party of fiscal restraint, smaller government and less intrusion of your life by government. When they had a chance to govern they were hardly fiscally conservative or even competent. It makes me worry when people say they believe the Democrats are the ones who can steer the economy into prosperity. It makes me sick when this current bunch of Republicans claim they can.

John Batchelor blogs on the Dailybeast.com that the GOP is dead and has been since 1933. Ike, Nixon, Reagan and the Bushs' according to Batchelor never gave a damn about the party.

Ike was indifferent to partisanship: His beating of the splenetic Robert Taft in 1952 for the nomination was the success of a conqueror over a sharpie. Nixon was a troubled, spiteful Quaker who despised the Republican Party as the “Eastern Establishment,” and who governed as a liberal Democrat with the apostasy of wage and price controls, the EPA, and embassies to the mass-murdering Mao and the hollow Brezhnev. Reagan was a right-wing Democrat from homespun Illinois who, after years of failing in Hollywood and then charming California, swamped Jimmy Carter and Walter Mondale with the passionate votes of the Democratic Party. I have long suspected that the Kennedys voted for Reagan twice.

I don't agree with Batchelor on all points but I do think it's time for something new. The Republican Party came to life quickly out of the ashes of the Whig Party and the Free Democrats with Horace Greeley penning the name in an 1854 editorial. The central unifying theme behind the formation of a new party was an opposition to slavery. There's no reason anti-socialism and economic liberty can't be a unifying force for a new party.

The Democrats will have nearly destroyed the US economy with their multi-trillion dollar social programs by the time the next few election cycles roll around, however the GOP will still be like a bitter poison to the electorate. The people should be ripe for something new. A new party should focus on constitutionally sound principals and not flowery social justice rhetoric on one hand or moralistic dogma on the other. Focusing on something foundational will surely draw conservatives, but it will also draw the people from the middle who went with Obama because he was not Bush more than because they believed in european-style democratic socialism.

There are other parties out there now, but none have struck a chord - it may take the complete dissolution of the GOP to bring about something new and substantial. The fact that Obama is reaching so high so fast my just be the catalyst that draws the disaffected together under a banner of fiscal restraint and economic liberty.

Now I will create my Horace Greeley moment... I shall call the new party the NEW party. If you need an acornym then here you go Nearly Everything Works.



CW

Wednesday, April 08, 2009

The Real "One" We've Been Waiting For



Last year around this time I wrote and article for Timothy Birdnow's web site called "The Next Big Thing". The concept I was exploring was that every so often along comes and invention, a discovery or and innovation that literally changes the world. These are civilization altering developments that change our day to day lives. In case you haven't noticed we are in dire need of one of these right about now.

For decades America and the West have been under the thumb of energy despots in one form or another. The list begins and ends with the U.S. Congress, but includes, of course, OPEC, Exxon Mobil, Hugo Chavez and more recently Vlad Putin as well as the Global Warming cabal. As a culture we've known since the 1970's that our energy woes and the consequences therein were only going to get worse unless a viable, clean solution presented itself. Well that day may be coming soon.

HEADLINE: Israeli Scientists Make a Major Hydrogen Fuel Breakthrough
Developing a way to create hydrogen fuel from water is a "Holy Grail" of alternate fuel development. Many consider Hydrogen fuel cells the perfect pollution-free alternative to fuel automobiles. In these cells Hydrogen is consumed by a pollution-free chemical reaction, not combustion. So the fuel cell simply combines hydrogen and oxygen chemically to produce electricity, water, and waste heat. Nothing else. hydrogen is the most abundant element in the universe... (source)

The new approach that the Weizmann team has recently devised is divided into a sequence of reactions, which leads to the liberation of hydrogen and oxygen in consecutive thermal- and light-driven steps, mediated by a unique ingredient – a special metal complex that Milstein’s team designed in previous studies. Moreover, the one that they designed – a metal complex of the element ruthenium – is a “smart” complex in which the metal center and the organic part attached to it cooperate in the cleavage of the water molecule.


The team found that upon mixing this complex with water the bonds between the hydrogen and oxygen atoms break, with one hydrogen atom ending up binding to its organic part, while the remaining hydrogen and oxygen atoms (OH group) bind to its metal center.
This modified version of the complex provides the basis for the next stage of the process: the “heat stage.” When the water solution is then boiled, hydrogen gas is released from the complex – a potential source of clean fuel – and another OH group is added to the metal center.

“But the most interesting part is the third ‘light stage,’” says Milstein. “When we exposed this third complex to light at room temperature, not only was oxygen gas produced, but the metal complex also reverted back to its original state, which could be recycled for use in further reactions.”


The thought of "getting off oil" as our primary fuel for transportation is tantalizing. Our interest in the dysfunctional backward looking thugs in the Middle East would wane. Dictators in Russia and Venezuela would fall further behind with no customers for their oil. There would be some job displacement in the energy industries in the West, but the new hydrogen based infrastructure will require plenty of skilled labor - it would be "creative destruction" at its best.

The wild card in all of this will be the Global Warming, or rather Climate Change apologists. They have staked their claim on the fact that CO2 is a pollutant and a dangerous greenhouse gas. They chose CO2 because civilization as it currently operates is dependent on the emission of vast quantities of CO2. In a hydrogen based system the emission of CO2 decreases (ironically to be replaced by the mother of all greenhouse gases - water vapor) and with the abdication of CO2 so goes the basis for their entire argument.

I submit that this remarkable development, if it pans out, fulfilling its promise, would not be welcomed by the Climate Change avengers. While one would think this would be the answer to their prayers - think again. It is - and always has been - the society that consumes the most energy in all its forms is the society that rises to the top. That society for the last 100 years has been the United States. Hydrogen as a inexhaustible energy source in the hands of a motivated, productive and unshackled populace would make the U. S. unstoppable. This would be a disaster for the Climate Change grifters (and America haters). The truth is it's not global warming or climate change they really want to stop, it's America. The destruction of American capitalism has always been their goal.

I for one am very, very excited by the prospect of seeing the end of the oil age for so many reasons, but the sweetness of seeing the Climate Change hucksters contort themselves in an effort to turn this paradigm shift on its head is too much to hope for.



CW

Monday, April 06, 2009

Quote Me!

note: The other night I was talking with my dear Mother on the subject of God and those among us who are, shall we say, skeptics, when this came out of my mouth. I thought it so profound I felt I needed to write it down...


"If God is love, and that's all God is - that's pretty good"








Quote me!
CW

Saturday, April 04, 2009

Disrespectable

My respect for President Obama could fill a thimble, needless to say I don't think very highly of the guy. Have you ever played monopoly? Of course you have. Ahh now you see where this is going... After this week my respect for PO might fill the little Monopoly game piece that looks like a thimble.

While all politicians are pathological liars, it's in the job description, PO is a disingenuous liar. In front an audience in a foreign country he continues to denigrate our country. Why does he feel it necessary to continue to slam President Bush with the perpetuation of a lie. When speaking of Abu Ghraib he tried to make the point that the abuse of prisoners as a strategy was counter productive. Well, it was never the "strategy" of the Bush Administration or the generals on the ground in Iraq. It was a crime. A crime that saw people arrested and put in jail. It was, however, the strategy of the New York Times and the Democrats to hang George Bush with it. It worked.

What ever happened to the tradition of Presidents not denigrating their predecessors? Reagan didn't continue to trash Carter just as Bill Clinton didn't slam George H. W. Bush once he had defeated him. George W. Bush went out of his way, as he always did, to avoid bad mouthing his predecessor as well as his successor, claiming recently that "President Obama deserves my silence". What in the hell is wrong with PO? Simple, he's a narcissist who needs to degrade others to make himself look better. You can claim he is just trying to differentiate himself from the HORROR that was George Bush - but does he need to use lies? In a word, yes, because for all intents and purposes he is basically keeping George Bush's actual foreign policies.

There is also the question of PO's understanding of Presidential protocol. Either he's a complete idiot or his State Dept. is incompetent. When the head of America's closest ally, the Prime Minister of Great Britain, pays his first visit to the Obama White House bearing meaningul and appropriate gifts, PO sends a staffer down to the local Blockbuster and then the White House gift shop. He sends PM Brown home with a stack of DVD's that were incompatible with British DVD players and a couple of models of Marine One helicopters. To add insult to injury he packed up and returned a gift that Great Britain gave the White House years ago. Instead of just moving the bust of Winston Churchill that President Bush proudly displayed right in the Oval Office Obama sent it down the street to the British embassy, thanks but no thanks... They were aghast - it was a complete slap in the face.

Accepted protocol for Presidents when meeting the head of a foreign state is to treat each other as equals. One does not bow to or kiss the wring of a peer - it shows weakness and submission. So what does PO do when he meets the Saudi leader. See for yourself...




What a maroon.





CW

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

"Detroit Makes Crappy Cars" NOT


How many times do we have hear that Detroit makes crappy cars and that's why the American auto business is in such trouble? For sure GM, Ford and Chrysler have some huge problems but the quality gap is really not one of them.

According to the J.D. Power and Associates 2009 Vehicle Dependability Study Buick joins Jaguar in the top spot. Yes, that Buick, a GM product.

J.D. Power and Associates - self described - a global marketing information services firm operating in key business sectors including market research, forecasting, performance improvement, Web intelligence and customer satisfaction. Their highly respected results are based on quality and satisfaction measurements that are based on responses from millions of consumers annually.

Everyone of us has a horror story of a past experience with a car that has forever tainted us. Being Americans that probably means it was an American car. Mine was with a Chrysler - I haven't bought one since. Of course my experience was in the 80's and one would think that things at Chrysler might have improved since then. Still, I would hesitate to even consider another Chrysler product. Am I being fair? Probably not. Am I being human? Definitely.

Imagine then in the 80's into 90's when Honda and Toyota were selling rock solid sedans to Americans who had just had a lousy experience with GM, Ford or Chrysler and you'd have your answer to why the American auto business is in such trouble. Bottom line: they lost their customers to a better product. Now that Detroit is building much, much better cars it is too little too late. It really is as simple as that. Why would they go back to the Big Three when they have been so happy with the foreign names.

The 2009 study also revealed that Toyota/Lexus still build fantastic cars as does Honda/Acura.

highlights from this year’s study:

* Buick and Jaguar (122 PP100 each) tie for the highest-ranking nameplates in vehicle dependability. Jaguar moves up nine rank positions from No. 10 in the 2008 study. Buick, which ranked No. 6 in 2008 and tied for the highest ranking with premium make Lexus in 2007, has ranked among the top 10 since 2003.


* Lexus ranks No. 3, with more than half of its eligible models receiving a segment award. In addition, the Lexus LS 430 sets a new standard in dependability, achieving an industry-best 61 PP100. Toyota (No. 4) and Mercury (No. 5) round out the top five brands.


“Buick has ranked among the top 10 nameplates each year since the study was last redesigned in 2003, while Jaguar has moved rapidly up the rankings,” said David Sargent, vice president of automotive research at J.D. Power and Associates. “Lexus remains a very strong competitor in long-term quality. In particular, the Lexus LS 430 sets the industry standard for dependability, with fewer problems reported than any other model in the study.”


With a GM and a Ford nameplate in the top five and 4 in the top 10 (out of 38) one should not continue to claim that Detroit builds crappy cars - but perception is reality and the fact is Detroit is to blame for not changing that perception. Being a GM owner and booster I am very sad for the condition the company finds itself in. Some of it is beyond their control, but most of it is of their own making.

Here's hoping that the Chevy Volt becomes the little engine that could... Change that perception, I mean.




CW